Welcome to our NBA betting preview: Game 3, Timberwolves vs Thunder. The Western Conference Finals continue on Saturday night as the Minnesota Timberwolves return home to face the Oklahoma City Thunder. Down 0-2 in the series, Minnesota is under pressure to bounce back and protect its home court.
This game holds significant betting value, with several prop markets showing potential. In this preview, we highlight the best player prop picks and give updated odds for Game 3.
Although Minnesota has struggled offensively, it now returns home with a chance to bounce back. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City looks to tighten its grip on the series. For bettors, this high-stakes game presents several valuable player props to consider.
Why This Game Matters
This NBA betting preview: Game 3, Timberwolves vs Thunder highlights how the stakes are rising in this series. The Thunder, led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, have taken control after two commanding wins. However, playoff basketball can change quickly, especially when teams return home.
Because of the high leverage of Game 3, bettors can expect adjustments in player roles and minutes. These shifts often create value in specific prop bets.
So far, the Thunder have dominated thanks to the incredible form of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 38 points in Game 2. On the other hand, Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves are under pressure to respond in front of their home fans.
Because the series could swing dramatically based on this result, Game 3 is critical. That urgency often leads to changes in minutes, player usage, and shot distribution—key areas for betting.
Top Prop Bets for Game 3
Here are four betting picks to watch closely ahead of Saturday’s clash.
Jalen Williams over 5.5 rebounds
OKC Thunder Guard Jalen Williams Up to No. 5 on NBA Rookie
Jalen Williams has shown increased involvement on the glass during the playoffs. Over his last five games, he has averaged 13 rebounding chances per game. This statistic, combined with his growing playoff minutes, suggests strong potential to clear the 5.5 mark.
Furthermore, the Timberwolves tend to draw bigs away from the basket, which gives wings like Williams more rebounding opportunities.
Therefore, this is one of the safer picks on the board.
Naz Reid to make 3 or more three-pointers.
Although Naz Reid struggled from three-point range in the first two games, his role remains vital. With Minnesota likely needing to stretch the floor against OKC’s size, Reid should continue seeing minutes.
Additionally, he has proven capable of knocking down multiple threes throughout the season. Playing at home could also help him regain his rhythm. If Minnesota plays more small-ball or needs shooting late, Reid becomes even more valuable.
Thus, this high-value prop at +175 could deliver a solid return.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 7.5 points
Alexander-Walker has carved out a steady playoff role, mainly due to his perimeter defense. Even so, he also finds scoring opportunities as a result of his extended minutes.
Importantly, he has surpassed 7.5 points in every game against the Thunder this season. Given that OKC’s guards require strong defensive matchups, Alexander-Walker is likely to stay on the floor.
Consequently, this scoring prop has reliable upside and may be overlooked by many bettors.
Avoid Julius Randle props for this matchup.
Some previews may mention Julius Randle in betting discussions. However, Randle plays for the New York Knicks, who are in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Because of this, his inclusion in any Thunder-Timberwolves prop market is incorrect. Make sure to avoid placing any related bets, as they do not apply to this series.
Current Game Odds and Projections
Here is a quick overview of the current numbers for Game 3:
- Date: Saturday, May 25, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis
- Point spread: Thunder -2.5
- Over/Under: 218.5 points
- Moneyline: Thunder -150, Timberwolves +130
- ESPN projection: Thunder win probability 67 percent
- Projected final score: Thunder by 5.3 points
Recommended Parlay Combination
If you’re planning a same-game parlay, consider the following combination:
- Jalen Williams over 5.5 rebounds
- Naz Reid to make 3 or more three-pointers.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 7.5 points
This trio balances consistency with high potential return. Since each pick is based on player role and recent trends, this parlay offers good value.
Conclusion
Game 3 is a pivotal moment in the Western Conference Finals. While the Thunder have the upper hand, Minnesota has the motivation to respond strongly at home. For bettors, this creates an opportunity to take advantage of shifting player roles and betting markets.
Before placing your wagers, always check for lineup changes, injury reports, and movement in the odds. Smart betting often comes down to timing and information.
